显示标签为“economic”的博文。显示所有博文
显示标签为“economic”的博文。显示所有博文

2011年4月29日星期五

Economic facts Vanishing

E:\GG工具\GG发布\data\quilue\4\1119_mz_63facts.jpg

Justin Fanti

By Soto Hernando

In the second half of the 19th century, the major global economies have endured a series of brutal recession. At the time, most forms of reliable economic knowledge were organized in relations feudal, heritage and tribues. If you want to know who owned land or a debt, it is saved locally - and very probably from outsiders. At the same time, the world was in full expansion. Travel between cities and countries has become the most common and global trade has increased. The result was a huge gap between the old, fragmented social order and the needs of a market economy globalizing and growing.

To avoid the breakdown of the industrial and commercial progress, hundreds of reformers creative concluded that the world needed a common set of facts. Knowledge must be gathered for the occasion, organized, standardized, registered, continuously updated and easily accessible - so that all players in the world of the enlargement of markets could, under the terms of the champion of the free banking of France Charles Coquelin, "pick up thousands of filaments which create companies between them."

The result was the invention of the first mass "systems of public memory" to record and classify - in records of rule-bound, certified and accessible to the public, titles, balance sheets and statements of account - all available relevant knowledge, if intangible (stocks)(, actesgrands books, contracts, patents, companies, and promissory notes, commercial paper), or tangible (land, buildings, ships, machinery, etc.). Knowing who owned and backwards and fixing these information in public documents, allowed investors to deduct the value, take risks and monitor the results. The final product was a revolutionary form of knowledge: "economic facts".

Over the past 20 years, the Americans and Europeans have quietly passed on the destruction of these facts. Systems which could provide Governments with the means to understand the global financial crisis - and to prevent another - and markets are being eroded. Governments have allowed the shadow markets develop and attain a size beyond understanding. Mortgages have been granted and registered with this inattention that owners and banks often does not know and cannot prove ownership of their homes. A few decades Western undermine the 150 years of legal reforms that made possible the world economy.

The results are hardly surprising. To the United States trust is broken in between banks and holders of mortgages; between arresting officers and the courts; between banks and their investors - even between banks and other banks. Overall, credit (from the Latin "Trust") continues to run regularly, but closer examination shows that a contract of non-governmental credit. Private lending fell from 21 per cent since 2007. Outstanding loans to small businesses last more than 6% last year, while loans to large enterprises, measured in commercial loans in addition to $ 1 million, declined by 9%.

The importance of the economic facts may not be obvious to Americans. "That fish knows on the water in which it swims?" asked Albert Einstein. But it is easy to grasp in the perspective of the developing countries and former Communists where I live and work. In these countries, most of our assets and relationships are in the informal sector, outside the legal economy. Because they are not saved in memory public systems, they cannot be written as facts and are, indeed, invisible. We do the shadow markets.

Without standardization, the values of assets and relationships are so variable that they can not be used to ensure the credit, to generate mortgage loans, and to group them in securities, to represent the shares to raise capital. Neither them they correspond to the standard slots required to enter global markets. That is why credit crunches and massive unemployment are chronic diseases for most of the people forced to operate in the informal economy. It is those who you see for protesting in the streets of Arab countries or living in tents around Port - au-Prince. We do know that too well that the facts speak for themselves: they must be built through legal and kept process transparent. They must be defended, too.


View the original article here

2011年4月21日星期四

Oil rises ahead of data supply us on signs of economic recovery

April 20, 2011, 8: 32 pm EDT by Grant Smith and Ben Sharples

April 20 (Bloomberg) - oil rose for a second day in New York before a weekly report from the U.S. Government on levels of supply, in the signs that recovery in the largest economy of the world supports fuel consumption.

Future earned as much as 1.6%, while that the dollar traded near its lowest level against the euro in a more than a year, boost the appeal of protection products against inflation. The Energy Department will publish its report today. The funded by industry American Petroleum Institute, said yesterday that gasoline inventories fell by 1.8 million barrels to 212 million. Pink European actions, with addition of 1.6% Stoxx 600. "It is generally better feeling for risk assets as equity markets rise, said Hannes Loacker, an analyst with Raiffeisen Bank AG in Vienna. "Oil fundamentals still look OK in emerging markets." However, a price of $120 to $ 130 is likely to reduce demand. The high price of oil may become the greatest risk in itself. "The oil for delivery in June as $1.71 to $109.86 barrel increased on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $109.61 at 1: 24 p.m. London time. Brent crude for the settlement of June soared $ 1.36, or 1.1%, to $122.69 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe Exchange bonus of London.Brent to benchmark U.S. restricted for a second day at $13.04 per barrel. Yesterday, crude in New York added 59 cents to $108.18, the highest settlement since April price 15.U.S. EconomyPurchases of U.S. existing homes climbed 2.5 percent in March after having dropped 9.6% in Februarya survey of Bloomberg News before the National Association of Realtors report today."A work report yesterday showed the Commerce Department began 549,000 homes at an annual rate, 7.2 percent the prior month and exceeding forecasts median 520 000 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News".The weakness of the dollar and more strong equities offset concerns over European sovereign debt and the slowdown in demand for high oil prices, "Mark Pervan, product manager of research in Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd.. in Melbourne"said in a note today.The Dollar Index, a measure of currency compared to those of six U.S. business partners, have slid for a second day to 74.68, Bloomberg data showed. It fell by 5.5% since the beginning of the year. A decline of the dollar makes commodities prices in the currency of the United States more attractive for investors. The motto of the United States was at $1.4468 against the euro.StockpilesU.S to the United States. oil crude stocks barrels roses 667,000 week last 356.1 million, according to the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute. A report of the Department of energy can today show supplies increased by 1.3 million barrels of 359.3 million, according to Bloomberg News of analysts of.The Commerce Department said the work started on 549,000 homes at an annual rate, 7.2 percent the prior month and exceeding the estimated median 520 000 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The standard & poor 500 Index added 0.6 per cent to 1,312.62 4 hours near New York.Oil advanced 20 percent in New York this year. Unrest in the Middle East and the North Africa reversed the leaders in Egypt and Tunisia and extend to the Libya, Algeria, Bahrain, Iran, Oman, Syria and the Yemen. Jamahiriya gross production that an average of 1.6 million barrels per day last year, has declined to 390,000 barrels per day in March, a survey of Bloomberg News producers, analysts and companies.Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan has suspended his Interior Minister after protests against his election victory has killed at least six people in the largest producer of oil in Africa. Clashes between Christians and Muslims erupted for a second day in the city of North of Kaduna, Shehu Sani, head of the civil rights Congress, said on April 18.

-With the help of Christian Schmollinger at Singapore. Editors: John Buckley, Raj Rajendran

To contact the reporter on this story: Ben Sharples in Melbourne to Grant Smith in London bsharples@bloomberg.net to the gsmith52@bloomberg.net

To contact the responsible editor of the story: Stephen Voss on sev@bloomberg.net


View the original article here

2011年4月20日星期三

Asian stocks won Gain on earnings, economic data; Increases in copper

April 20, 2011, 8: 52 am EDT by Stephen Kirkland

April 20 (Bloomberg)--Stocks increased the most in a month and U.S. future index gained as Intel Corp. sales forecast and the results of company in Europe and Asia Beats estimates. Advanced products, while the yen and the Treasury bills fell.

The MSCI World Index jumped 1.2% at 8: 45 a.m. in New York, the largest increase on the basis of closure since March 21, and emerging markets shares rallying more than eight months. Standard & Poor 500 Index future rose by 1.3%. The yen depreciated against all 16 of his peers traded for the most part, while the yield on the note of 10-year US Treasury rose three basis points, and the remote Irish binding. Raw sugar and oil led products most high while gold transferred over $1,500 an ounce for a second day.Intel said yesterday income can top the estimates of analysts in the second quarter. L'Oreal SA, manufacturer of cosmetics most, reported sales rose to 9.3%, and LG Chem Ltd. of South Korea has posted a jump of 27 percent in favour. Earnings per share exceeded forecasts 78 percent of 46 companies in the S & P 500 that have reported results since April 11, help restore investor confidence after the S & P cut its rating for debt U.S. perspectives on 18 April. Apple Inc. is among more than 30 companies due to report results today. "" You are seeing signs in Europe and the United States are always on the road to recovery, "said Hiroichi Nishi, a manager of shares in Tokyo to SMBC Nikko Securities Inc."Which helped ease the nerves."UN'ALTRA PeugeotThe Stoxx Europe 600 index advanced 1.6% for the first gains back to back in two weeks. STMicroelectronics NV, largest chip manufacturer in Europe, grew by 6 percent and ASML Holding NV, the largest manufacturer of semiconductor-equipment, jumped to 6.6 per cent. L'Oreal SA increased by 3.3%. PSA Peugeot Citro?n acquired 4.7% as the second largest constructor of Europe posted an increase of 10% of revenue in the first quarter.The increase in the S & P 500 futures indicated that gauge extend advance of 0.6 per cent of yesterday, the biggest gain this month. Intel dropped 6.3% in trade before the sale. Yahoo! Inc. has increased by 4.5% as the most visited U.S. Web portal was in the first quarter of sales that topped estimates. Apple iPhone manufacturer, rose by 1.5 per cent .at & T Inc., the largest U.S. phone carrier, had profit in the first quarter of 57 cents a share, corresponding to the average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg survey. The stock increased by 0.9%.A report by the National Association of Realtors to 10 hours. New York Times can show sales of U.S. existing homes acquired 2.5% in March after that tumbling 9.6% the previous month, according to the median forecast of 74 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.Emerging MarketsThe markets new MSCI Index of 2.1% stir-frydefined for the steepest gain since August. A measure of stocks in the MSCI gauge technology agrees with 3.6%, the most since May 2009. Kospi Index Korea of the South jumped 2.2 percent to a record, while Taiex Index of Taiwan increased by 2%. Russian stocks increased by 1% of the higher oil, while landmarks in Poland, Hungary and South Africa rallies at least 1.4% .l ' index S & P GSCI 24 products rose by 1.2%. Raw sugar has increased by 1.8% and crude oil rose from 1.4% to $109.76 US per barrel in New York. Gold for delivery in June climbed up to 0.7% to a record $ 1,506.20 an ounce and transferred to $1, future 501.60.Wheat increased by 2.2 per cent, the fourth gain, set for the longest since January advance, dry speculation in Europe and the United States will restrict cultures. Advanced rice of 2.3%.The yen weakened by 0.2 per cent against the dollar and fell 1.5% against the euro. The Dollar Index, which follows the motto of the United States against those of six commercial partners, fell 0.9%, extending the decline of 0.6 per cent yesterday.Euro PoundThe euro reinforced 1.3% against the dollar and 1.5% against the yen. The weakened pound 0.9 per cent against the euro after the minutes of the Bank of England showed policymakers voted 6-3, to keep interest rates on hold them this month, as the majority said that data on the economy in the previous month were "probably the downside."The Swedish Crown advanced 0.2 percent against the euro after the Central Bank raised its rate of reference for the sixth time since July and kept a forecast for the next unchanged increases. Reinforced Thai baht 0.3 per cent against the dollar after the Bank of Thailand increased the rate of redeeming the bonds of a day for the third time this year.Treasury bills fell, snapping a gain of three days, with the performance of five-year note forward four basis at 2.10% points. The yield on the 10-year German bund rose four basis points, rising for a second day. Performance on Irish debt jumped to 19 basis points, increasing the sixth day, the longest run of increases since February 15. The performance of 10 advanced Portuguese years 13 basis points, climbing for the seventh day, with performance Greek up to 17 basis points.The cost of insuring Greek debt is passed 30 basis points, to a record 1,271 basis points according to CMA Award for credit - default swaps. The cost of signals a chance to 66% of the default within five years.

-With the help of Claudia Carpenter, Andrew Rummer, Dan Cuddies and Jason Webb in London. Editors: Stephen Kirkland, Michael Regan

To contact the reporter on this story: Stephen Kirkland in London at skirkland@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Paul Sillitoe at psillitoe@bloomberg.net.


View the original article here

2011年4月13日星期三

Japan reduced its economic assessment as supporters of earthquake damage

April 12, 2011, 10: 19 am EDT by Aki Ito

April 13 (Bloomberg)--the Japanese Government has reduced its assessment of the economy, for the first time in six months after the earthquake on March 11 killed more than 12,000 and led to the worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl.

"Even if the Japanese economy was picking up, he showed weakness" since the temblor, the Cabinet Office said in a report today in Tokyo. A lack of power resulting from a crippled nuclear facility, threaten to delay in the resolution of supply chain disruptions and rising prices of oil in pushing growth, he said.Economic and fiscal policy Minister Kaoru Yosano, said yesterday the effect of the economic disaster was greater than anticipated, plans for reconstruction of the indication can exceed Government projections. The Bank of the Japan last week established an emergency loan facility to help affected companies and warned that the event will be exercising a "strong downward pressure" on the third world economy. "There is so much uncertainty surrounding the Outlook, analysts Mizuho Research Institute wrote in a note this week. "We always know the extent of the damage caused by the earthquake and it is more and more research as the nuclear issue will be prolonged."Officials yesterday raised the level of severity of the accident at the nuclear plant of Tokyo Electric Power Co. has to match the level of the 1986 Chernobyl disaster. The Japan is expanding its evacuation area surrounding facilities and has interrupted shipments of vegetables containing radioactive material over the legal limit.Stimulus PackagePrime Minister Naoto Kan aims to compile a stimulus package this month, the cabinet members say could be as large as 4 billion yen (47 billion dollars).Manufacturers of Fujitsu Ltd., Nissan Motor Co. was not in a position of some of their facilities to reopen a month after the disaster and intact plants had cut operations to face power shortages. Damage by the earthquake will be as much as 25 billion yen, the Cabinet Office said producer price for March 23 increased at the fastest rate in 28 months in March, pushed to the top by the highest commodities and the constraints of supply after the earthquakeshowed a report of the Bank of the Japan published today.The fees companies pay for energy and unfinished goods rose 2% a year earlier, more than the estimate of 1.9% median gain of 27 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The number of items cost more exceeded those which become cheaper for the first time in nearly two years, signs that deflationary pressure is facilitated.Exports may decline, production stagnated and consumer spending is weakening, according to the report of today who downgraded all three of these components of. A survey of purchasing managers showed manufacturing deteriorated at the fastest rate at least nine years in March. Confidence among consumers of the Japan the nearest dealers plunged to a record pace since the Government began to track data in 2000.The, Ministry of finance is expected to release its report on the trade for March April 20. Data on retail sales are 27 April and industrial production reports are due on April 28 of the Ministry of trade.

-With the help of Mayumi Otsuma in Tokyo. Editors: Lily Nonomiya, Ken McCallum

% JPY

To contact the reporter on this story: Aki Ito in Tokyo at the aito16@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Paul Panckhurst in the ppanckhurst@bloomberg.net


View the original article here