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2011年4月29日星期五

Decline in retail sales in March German as Inflation is accelerated

April 29, 2011, 3: 17 pm EDT by Christian Vits

(Updates with comment from Economist in the fourth paragraph).

April 29 (Bloomberg) - German retail sales fell for a second month in March as the accelerated inflation, eroding household purchasing power.Sales, adjusted for inflation and seasonal movements, a decrease of 2.1% in February, when they went down by 0.4%, the Federal Office of statistics in Wiesbaden said today. Economists expected a 0.2 percent gain, according to the median of estimates 18 during a Bloomberg News survey. Since a year earlier, sales decreased by 3.5 per cent.German inflation accelerated to 2.6% in April, the fastest pace in 2 1/2 years, driven by soaring oil prices. At the same time, unemployment dropped to a minimum of 19 years as businesses stepped up production to meet export orders. The Government expects greater Europe's economy to expand 2.6% this year after a record growth of 3.6% in 2010. "."A negative reading in March is not unusual if Easter falls in April," said Ulrike Rondorf, an economist at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. "In the first quarter, retail sales still exceed the fourth quarter of 0.2% average."Evolution of the consumer price is casting "slight shadow" on an otherwise "positive" economic perspective, the Ministry of the economy said on the orders of German plant for April 19 and industrial production rose more than economists predicted in February. "Negative impact" private consumption will recover sharply this year and also grow in 2012, said Andreas Scheuerle, Economist for Dekabank in Frankfurt. "" " However, while the labour market has a positive impact on the expenses of the private sector, we also have a negative impact of the wave of inflation. "Consumer confidence will decline for a second month of may as grapple households with higher food and prices of energy, market based in Nuremberg firm GfK AG said this week. Business confidence fell for a second month in April after oil prices rose to the highest in over two years. "Inflation is certainly the major risk for the consumption of the Germany individuals. "in particular, consumers are sensitive to rising prices at the pump," said Mario Gruppe, Economist at the NordLB in Hannover Germany. "However, a negative reading is not the end of the world that we will see a robust economic recovery despite the threat of inflation risks.".

-With the help of Naomi Kresge in Berlin, Manus recesses in London and Jana Randow in Frankfurt. Editors: Matthew Brockett, Hayden Jones

To contact the reporter on this story: Christian Vits to Frankfurt to cvits@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Craig Stirling cstirling1@bloomberg.net


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2011年4月21日星期四

Existing home sales to Rise United States, fail to recover lost ground

April 20, 2011, 12: 56 pm EDT by Timothy r. Homan

April 20 (Bloomberg)--sales of the United States previously belonged homes rose in March as a supply of properties in or near foreclosure mounting attracted investors.

Purchases have increased by 3.7% to an annual rate of $ 5.1 million, exceeding the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News 5 million, figures from the National Association of Realtors showed today in Washington. All-cash deals accounted for 35% of transactions, the most on record, the group said.Unemployment, the collapse of the values of property and stricter lending rules may push the number of households losing their homes at a record level this year, a sign the market will take time to recover. Even with last month's gains, housing can remain a small component in the economic recovery which began in June 2009. "" We continue to water along the bottom, just tread ", said John Herrmann, a senior strategist for fixed income at State Street Global markets LLC in Boston. "The housing market is quite depressed." We believe that real estate will fall further. "Stocks climbed that companies Intel Corp. at Yahoo! Inc. sales exceeded estimates and the producers of acquired products. The Standard & Poor 500 Index increased by 1.3% to 1,329.69 at 12: 37 in New York.Estimates for March existing sales ranged from 4.59 to 5.4 million, according to the median of 74 forecasts in the Bloomberg survey.Pay CashThe for all cash transactions share is highest since monthly monitoring in August 2008, Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the association of Realtors, said at a press conference today in Washington. Annual figures before 2008 showed to approximately 10 per cent share, said seized property Yun.Les, which include foreclosures and short sales, accounted for 40% of all transactions last month, according to Yun. Purchases by investors climbed to 22% of transactions last month from 19% in February. "This is part of the cleaning process needs to occur,"Yun said, referring to sales in distress." "Home sales are strongest in the very low price range" of less than $100,000, he said, reflecting the increase in demand by investors pay cash.Sales increased in three of the four regions of the United States in March, led by a gain of 8.2% in the South. The West dropped by 0.8%.The average sale price fell 5.9% in March 2010 to $due last month as lower priced properties became a greater share of the market. Sales of homes at a price of $100,000 or less increased by 9.6% in March 2010, compared with a decrease of 6.3% for the market as a whole, the report shows.More SupplyThe number of houses formerly owned for sale climbed to 3.55 million. At the present rate of sale should be 8.4 months to sell these homes compared with 8.5 end of the previous month. Supply in the eight months to nine months beach is compatible with price stability, the group said.Officials of the Federal Reserve, in a statement following their meeting on monetary policy on 15 March, said then that the "economic recovery is on a more equal footing," real estate residential is always "pressed". The Committee of the Central Bank is expected to respond to the next, 26-27 April Washington.Home price has dropped in the 12 months to January by the most in more than a year, the index S & P/Case-Shiller of the values of the House. In 20 cities, prices declined by 3.1%, the largest decline since December 2009, the group said the underlying values of affairs for March 29 ForeclosuresSome are less than the mortgages on the properties. CoreLogic Inc. last month found that approximately 1.8 million households was delinquent or in foreclosure, a set of "shadow inventory" supposedly to add to the 3.5 million existing homes already on the market.Houses cheaper and goods seized are pessimistic constructors. Global builders are not optimistic. Tomb of the National Association of Home Builders confidence ' to 16 this month, according to the tonnage of the Group has published this week. A reading below 50 means a majority of manufacturers view as poor conditions."Home KB, builders based in Los Angeles that targets buyers from the first time, this month reported a loss greater than expected for the quarter ended February 28 as orders plunged".We do not provide a net benefit for 2011, "Director General Jeffrey Mezger said during a conference call with analysts on 5 April." "The economy continues to improve." Despite this, the recovery has yet to include the significant growth of employment and overflowed housing. ?

-Editors: Carlos Torres, James Tyson

To contact the reporter on this story: Timothy r. Homan in Washington to thoman1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Christopher Wellisz to the cwellisz@bloomberg.net


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2011年4月20日星期三

Intel forecast sales in the second quarter that can top estimates

April 19, 2011, 8: 41 pm EDT by Olga Kharif and Ian King

(Updates with comment by the Chief Executive in paragraph 10).

April 19 (Bloomberg) — Intel Corp., largest maker of the world, sales forecast in the second quarter that can top estimates by analysts, evidence of demand growing for calculation on the Internet.Revenue to provide machinery will be $ 12.8 billionmore or less 500 million dollars, Intel said today in a statement. That compares with $ 11.9 billion, or the average of forecasts of analysts compiled by Bloomberg. Shares rose 6.7% in late trading.The company benefits such as mobile devices, including iPad stimulates demand Apple Inc. online services provided by the Intel-powered servers. Even though PC sales came under pressure from the last quarter, Intel 80% share of the microprocessor market stimulates sales when companies upgrade their server and PC fleets. "It is the force of a new product cycle,"Hans Mosesmann, an analyst at Raymond James & Associates Inc., said in an interview. "There is a cycle of cooling occurring in the space of servers, and that they probably earn part" Intel, based in Santa Clara, California, has increased by high $21.19 in commerce extended after the report. The shares had gained 24 cents to $19.86 to 4 p.m. time in New York on the Nasdaq Stock Market. The stock lost 5.6% this year.Net profit for the first quarter past 29 per cent to 3.16 billion, or 56 cents per share, of 2.44 billion dollars, or 43 cents, a year earlier. Analysts on average had estimated profits of 46 cents. Sales increased 25% to $ 12.8 billion, compared to an average forecast of $ 11.6 billion.DemandCustomers of clouds are snapping the machines necessary for the performance of computers, software and storage on the Internet - via the so - called cloud. Sales of servers used to deliver computer clouds may rise to 6.4 billion in 2014, which represents 1.3 million units, of 3.8 billion dollars, or 600 000 units, the last year, according to researcher IDC. "The server company has exceeded our expectations in high demand since the data center segment continued,"Intel Chief Financial Officer Stacy Smith said in a release posted on the Intel Web site.The gross margin, the only indicator of profitability that Intel forecast, will be 61%, to a few percentage points, this quarter, the company said. Gross margin - the percentage of sales after deduction of the expenses of production - a 61 per cent in the first quarter.Sales of the company of SalesThe of server chips for servers, storage and networking devices should reach $ 10 billion this year, Director General Paul Otellini said on a conference call to discuss earnings.What we are witnessing an explosion of computing devices that connect to the Internet, and Intel is a large part of this trend, "Otellini said."The chip manufacturer also more companies expected to buy its microprocessor-based computers, they continue to refresh their PCs. Intel estimates that 75 percent of corporate computers always run software for Windows XP from Microsoft Corp... PC sales should grow to a percentage to the low two digits in 2011, said Otellini.Intel also faced challenges in the first quarter. The company said in January that one of the support chip that makes for its microprocessors had a fault that would cost 300 million dollars in sales in the first quarter. He predicted to spend $ 700 million to replace systems and chips defective.On 13 April, IDC said shipments of global personal computer unexpectedly fell 3.2% in the first quarter as businesses and consumers held offshore on the purchase of new PCs. The firm market said also on 11 March earthquake and tsunami in the Japan and disorders in the Middle East can disrupted sales of PC.Mobile, Tablet LaggardThe results can help to allay the fears of investors that the company has yet to parlay dominance on PC market for mobile and Tablet phone chips.Apple iPad Tablet is working on a processor of mobile phone based on the technology of ARM Holdings Plc. Some manufacturers of rival tablets have opted for less power hungry design smart now offered by Intel. The popularity of tablets is cutting into sales of portable computers, said Christopher Danely, analyst from JPMorgan Chase & Co.On April 11, Intel announced a new product, called Oak Trail, and sold under the brand of the atom, which is 60% smaller than its predecessor and will provide a "day" battery life in the touch-screen computers. And the company has designed a handset which may be manufactured by ZTE Corp. China, according to two people with knowledge of the plan.In the call today, the company has touched on how it intends to gain ground in mobile devices, especially chips for phones, a market dominated by rivals such as Qualcomm Inc.Some 35 tablets based on Intel chipsets should get out of this yearmost of them based on the operating system Android for Google Inc.Otellini said. He said he would be "very disappointed" If there is not a phone based on the Intel chips available for sale to 12 months.(Intel held a conference call with analysts to discuss the results at 5: 30). New York Times. To listen go to {LIVE } or www.intc.com).

-Editors: Jillian Ward, Tom Giles.

To contact the reporters on this story: Olga Kharif in Portland, Oregon, at okharif@bloomberg.net.

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles@bloomberg.net.


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Yahoo first-quarter sales estimates as Ad request climbing high

April 19, 2011, 8: 15 pm EDT by Brian Womack

(Adds analyst comment in the fourth paragraph.)

April 19 (Bloomberg) - Yahoo! Inc., the most visited U.S. Web portal, sales in the first quarter which exceeded estimates companies intensified their use of Internet advertising. Shares increased by 5.5% in trade towards the end.Excluding sales transmitted to the sites of partners, income was 1.06 billion, Sunnyvale, California-based Yahoo, said today in a statement. Analysts had estimated $ 1.05 billion, according to data compiled by leader Bloomberg.Chief Carol Bartz has been buoyant for advertising such as banners and videos demand as Yahoo sites attract more visitors. U.S. users grew 15 percent to 179.5 million in March of the period of the previous year, placing Yahoo before millions of > 176.8 No. 2 Google Inc., according to the results alleviated by Yahoo Inc. of ComScore concern which arose in January after its forecast disappointed investors. "This gives him certainly some breathing room,"said Kerry Rice, an analyst for Wedbush Securities Inc. in Los Angeles. He rates the stock "underperform" and is not the owner. "This keeps investors on the line."Yahoo has increased as much as $88 cents to 17 in extended trade. The shares fell by 3.1% this year, had closed at $ 16.12 more early on estrogen that Nasdaq Stock Market.Quarter ForecastSales will be 1.08 billion $ 1.13 billion in the second quarter, the company said. In the middle of this range correspond to $ 1.1 billion expected by analysts.Net profit for the first quarter due to the company fell to 223 million, or 17 cents per share, Yahoo actual million, or 22 cents, said. Unique benefits a year earlier represented for some of the decline of. Excluding certain items, Yahoo had earnings of 19 cents per share, estimating average 16 cents in mind.Yahoo sales have dropped the company unloads businesses, farms on a large part of its research activities and refocuses on the most effective Web sites. At the same time, it sells ads to display more. Excluding revenue shared with the partners, advertising sales sites display climbed 10 percent in the last quarter to $ 471 million. "" Our time is right to proceed as scheduled, "Tim Morse, Chief Financial Officer, said in an interview. "We are confident that we have towards in the right direction.".Improvements of the quarter SeenDuring, Web engagement of visitors on the site showed some improvements. Page views on the properties of Yahoo media, including the home page, increased by 8% in the quarter after declining in the past months, the company said. Time spent on these properties increased by 17%. Again, page views on communications and communities, including Yahoo mail and its "groups" of service, courier fell 6 percent and time spent fell 10 percent.Yahoo strives to maintain its role as a page at once high Internet portal when more users are moving towards social networking sites, like Facebook and Twitter Inc.. Under Bartz, who became CEO in January 2009, the company has pared down its workforce to make the most effective of Yahoo. Earlier this year he announced his intention to cut approximately 1% of its staff, following a decision to eliminate approximately 4%, or about 600 jobs, in December.Bartz also concluded an agreement with Microsoft Corp. to use its technology research on Yahoo sites. Under the agreement, Yahoo has moved to its platform of research-marketing for Microsoft System, called AdCenter advertisers. Companies have begun moving in October with the Canada and U.S.AdCenter PauseThe society be held offshore on more than the implementation of the part of search-advertising of the agreement until Microsoft improves the performance of its AdCenter platform, which was a disappointment as this, said Bartz, who met personally responsible for said Microsoft.Bartz that it is confident Microsoft, which is the guarantee of revenue for Yahoo during the transition, will be address "issues" with the platform. "Overall, she said that the results of the quarter showed its relief efforts the company"."We continue to make progress on our plan to increase profitability and revenue growth," said Bartz. "We rise of engagement and monetization it.".Microsoft has expanded its share of the US market research for eight straight months, up 13.9% in March, while Yahoo spent last month to 15.7% to 16.1% the previous month, according to ComScore based in Reston, Virginia. Google retains more than twice the market share of the combined companies, with 65.7%.Yahoo has also held talks to dispose of its participation in Yahoo Japan, an Internet gateway company, two people familiar with the issue, said last month. Yahoo is co-owner of the joint venture based in Tokyo with Softbank Corp..

-Editor: Donna Alvarado, Stephen West

To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Womack in San Francisco at bwomack1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles to the tgiles5@bloomberg.net


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2011年4月9日星期六

No new jobs up to that collection of sales and sales begin to inch-Up

Earnings have recovered their assignments pre-recessionary with margins close to record levels. Although pleased productive, work their "longer and more difficult" and stable low labour costs have contributed, the key to the recovery of compensation has been the reduction of the labour market initiatives, or as the Donald would have said "you are fired" (do I need to give as much time if it running?). Gains, however, cannot reach their new records expected in the second half of 2011 without an increase in sales. There are simply too few cuts left (although some surveys show that cuts continue, with increases in low pay) and if you want to increase the bottom line, you're going to grow the top line. Putting aside what may be a piece of M & A contagious, not that I have nothing against the purchase sales, which means companies must generate sales the old fashion way - get customers to spend. The main spender is and remains, the consumers. On the one hand, they have paid slightly down their credit cards, but are always ready to compete on the occasion, some owners are burdened with new draw downs real estate (guess the old ones are enough), he had only 2% social security tax reduction, and if we only read the headlines, the unemployment rate has fallen again. However, it appears that some of these consumers can be realigning their priorities once again, something who want to eat and having to drive (do not have to worry about, we were told it is not inflationary). The line of substance for them, is that there are expectations limited to large increases in consumer spending, with potential changes of discretion of Staples. The other spender - which we hope will be the big spender, East of Ministry expenses. Remuneration, as noted, is close to record levels, cash introduced his ninth high quarterly consecutive, cash flow for 2010 was a beautiful thing and our representatives friendly Affairs in Washington (which is still open to this writing;) On 18 April began a recess of the week 2 in both cases) have been quite pleasant to spend (100%) first year tax depreciation full schedule, with some strings attached. I would not put a cash bet on them being as friendly on repatriation. First-quarter earnings reports will begin Monday (as of last night that the & S P 500 has already 27 reported issues; 4.5%, attached file), with more than 70% expected by the end of the month. I expect to read that companies were spending in the first quarter and doing so at a rate which will produce an increase in sales to two digits. Specifically, I calculated that more than 30% of the questions are expected to report double-digit sales gains and for the S & P 500 show its first gain double-digit sales quarterly-year since March 2006. The index failed to display four changes to two consecutive fourth-quarter ' 09 through Q3, numbers ' 09, but those who have been double-digit decline. Financials sales are expected to lead the growth quarter (25.6% in the first quarter, 10'), but it is still a story of recovery from the bottom. Energy (24.7%) is partially a pass along as a percentage of the price of oil; this brings me to the technology information (13.5%), the most important sector in the index (18.0%;) (Financial statements are 16.0% and energy is 13.2%) and therefore, with the greatest impact. (For some and me), it has become an indicator of advancement for expenses of the companies. The logic is that you cannot develop without it, therefore their backorders, similar to the manufacture of orders, tell a story. We have seen it earnings post double-digit sales for most of last year, which given their 2009 number was less they could have done (similar to the current financial gains high), but now easy comparisons have disappeared, and the growth rate has declined. Gains from sales that there are large, with nearly 30% of the questions should display a 20% sales increase (-year). The implication is that spending is beginning to pick up past the low recovery where finally new jobs could be created - and without jobs recovery cannot proceed. There are few signs of massive expansion of production or of the plant (United States), and I saw a few major product launches (outside Apple; my teenage daughter love always, even if the NASD likes the 40 least: 20,49% at 12.33%; note the 100 adjustment should reduce the increase in the cost of the strategy volatilitémais plays against) (index 100), so I offer little hope of rapid hiring. However, as the increase in sales and at this stage 2011 looks to gain double-digit, businesses will be commit to produce more, adding a few hours, then perhaps a change and at some point eventually hiring. Then with more jobs, will spend more people, businesses produce more…. then the cycle will really start turning up. Of course, when companies start hiring, spend more money and by investing more, we can all complain about their declining margins - but this will be something nice to complain.

See the file for charts and sales data On.doc

Ben Steverman of Bloomberg Businessweek focuses on the last moves on financial markets and the emerging trends in stocks, bonds and funds, always with an eye toward giving readers to better understand the sometimes confusing and often chaotic money world. Senior analyst index of Standard & Poor Howard Silverblatt will also provide its decision-making on the finances of companies and markets. One of the "Top 100 Finance Blogs" voted in 2007.

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